Trends · 5 min read

The Race for Space: Suburbs and Cottage Country Boom in 2020

The race for space is reshaping Canadian real estate in 2020 as work-from-home buyers drive a boom in suburbs, small towns and cottage country beyond the big cities.

All articlesJuly 21, 2020Homicity Research

One trend now dominates the Canadian housing conversation, and it deserves a name: the race for space. As the summer of 2020 unfolds, a growing number of buyers are trading density for square footage, chasing larger homes, private yards and room to work and live under one roof. The catalyst is the sudden, widespread shift to working from home, which has loosened the tether between where people live and where they work. The result is a boom rippling outward from the big cities into suburbs, small towns and cottage country alike.

Work From Home Redraws the Map

For years, proximity to the office anchored housing decisions, and the premium on central locations reflected that. The pandemic has upended the assumption. With many professionals working remotely, a longer commute, if there is a commute at all, has become an acceptable trade for more space and lower costs. That single shift is redrawing the map of Canadian housing demand, pulling buyers toward places that were previously too far out to consider.

Suburbs and Small Towns Surge

Suburban communities and smaller towns within reach of the major centres are among the biggest beneficiaries. Buyers who once felt confined to a condominium in the core are discovering that a detached home with a yard is within reach an hour or two away. Demand in these markets has surged, inventory is tight, and prices are firming as competition intensifies. The value proposition of space beyond the city has rarely looked more compelling.

Cottage Country Comes Alive

Perhaps the most striking manifestation of the trend is in recreational and cottage markets. Properties once viewed as seasonal getaways are being reconsidered as year-round homes or hybrid arrangements, and demand for recreational real estate has jumped accordingly. Waterfront and rural properties within a comfortable drive of the cities are attracting intense interest, and the traditional cottage market is behaving in ways it never has before.

The Flip Side in the Core

The race for space has a mirror image in the largest urban cores. Demand for smaller downtown condominiums has cooled, and the rental market in city centres is softening as short-term rental supply shifts and some renters relocate. This divergence between space-rich outlying markets and dense urban cores is one of the most important dynamics of the year, and it is showing up clearly in the property data.

What Buyers Should Weigh

For buyers caught up in the race for space, enthusiasm should be tempered with diligence. Rural and recreational properties come with considerations that urban buyers may overlook, from water systems and septic to internet reliability and year-round access. Neighbourhood insight and careful data review matter as much here as in the city. The right professional guidance helps buyers move quickly without moving carelessly.

How Durable Is the Shift

The open question is how permanent this reordering proves to be. Some of the migration will reverse if and when offices reopen fully, but some reflects a lasting change in how Canadians think about where and how they live. We suspect the truth lies in between, with a meaningful, durable shift toward space layered on top of a temporary surge. We will keep tracking the trend closely, because its resolution will shape the market for years to come.

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This analysis is built on Neighbourly.io — the real estate data API for Canada. Standardized addresses, boundaries, demographics, permits and market signals through a single interface.

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